Causal QCU · universal settlement

QCU pays for the change a provider can independently prove it caused.

Raw runtime, energy use, or a provider’s claim of improvement is not enough. crwdUnit places a preregistered intervention and counterfactual contract between the decision and payment, then settles only independently attributable value.

The simple promise

Define the outcome. Commit the comparison. Measure the difference. Pay only for the portion independently attributable to the intervention.

First question · resource truth

Did the machine perform verified work?

EcoSynQ can answer through QSA. Another provider can use an admitted meter, instrument, telemetry source, or independent verifier. This establishes resource value and its physical ceiling.

Second question · causal truth

Did that intervention cause the purchased outcome?

The preregistered comparator and independent observation determine the attributable effect. Verified activity can exist without becoming causally settleable customer value.

Causal AI · for beginners

Prediction asks what might happen. Causal AI asks what made it happen.

Most AI learns patterns from the past and predicts what is likely next. A pattern can show that two things happened together without proving that one caused the other. Causal AI declares the action and fair comparison first, measures both results, shows its uncertainty, and refuses to claim causation when the evidence is not strong enough. That is why it can support outcome-based payment.

How causal payment works
01

Mandate before execution

The customer fixes the treatment, comparator, desired outcome, time horizon, risk ceiling, proof rules, and maximum settlement before results are known.

02

Provider commits

The selected executor commits its action, environment, control assignment, software, hardware, and execution window before observing the outcome.

03

Independent observation

An admitted measurement provider reports treatment and control outcomes, uncertainty, calibration, missing data, and regime changes.

04

Attribution before payment

crwdUnit estimates the causal effect, grades identifiability, applies evidence and delivery quality, and refuses settlement when the effect cannot be attributed.

Assured mode · EcoSynQ QaaS

The premium assurance implementation

EcoSynQ supplies an integrated path in which QuantumVM executes the admitted intervention, QSA independently measures physical delivery, Quantum Routing moves work through the declared topology, immuDB anchors proof, and SEA reports reserve coverage.

ExecutorQuantumVM
MeasurementQSA
Evidence witnessimmuDB
Live projectionSurrealDB
SettlementQCU
Federated mode · any provider

Keep the infrastructure. Adopt the causal contract.

A provider does not need QuantumVM or QSA to participate. It can use its existing executor, telemetry, verifier, witness, and settlement rail as long as each role is declared, independently identifiable, and capable of producing the canonical evidence contract.

ExecutorRigetti, AWS, Azure, Kubernetes, HPC, QPU
MeasurementLab instrument, auditor, telemetry provider, oracle
Evidence witnessTransparency log, blockchain, trusted database
SettlementQCU, fiat, invoice, stablecoin, internal chargeback
The provider-neutral Causal ABI

Five messages make unlike systems commercially comparable.

1CausalMandateV1Defines the subject, treatment, comparator, outcome, population, horizon, confounders, risk limit, and settlement rule.
2InterventionCommitmentV1Commits the executor, action, control assignment, execution window, and hardware/software identity before the outcome is known.
3ExecutionEvidenceV1Proves what ran, when it ran, its environment, actual inputs and actions, and the hashes of the raw evidence.
4OutcomeObservationV1Reports treatment and control results with units, method, calibration, uncertainty, missing data, and verifier identity.
5CausalEffectReceiptV1Reports estimated effect, confidence interval, assumptions, sensitivity, identifiability, settleable effect, and settlement eligibility.
Value rule

Proof admits value. It never inflates value.

V_QCU = W_physical × U_computational × R_delivery × Q_outcomeQCU_causal = p × max(0, τ̂ − zα·στ) × q_evidence × q_deliveryA_proof = 0 ⇒ V_settleable = 0

Missing, invalid, late, or policy-inadmissible proof makes the result ineligible for settlement. Stronger proof cannot increase the amount charged.

Assurance ladder

One calculation. Clearly graded confidence.

AIndependent executor and verifier; randomized control
BIndependent verifier; matched or synthetic control
CProvider telemetry; independently witnessed
DProvider self-report; observational comparison
RefusedEffect is not identifiable or proof is inadmissible
What any CPU, GPU, QPU, cloud, or machine provider can sell through causal QCU

Quantum advantage

Did a QPU cause a measurable improvement over the best declared classical alternative?

Cloud optimization

Did a scheduling intervention reduce cost without falling below the required reliability floor?

Ledger outcomes

Did a blockchain improve finality, recovery, integrity, or cost over the admitted alternative?

Energy operations

Did a control policy reduce joules, cooling cost, or carbon intensity per completed workload?

Risk reduction

Did an intervention reduce incident frequency, loss severity, downtime, or recovery time?

crwdUnit’s universal service

A neutral causal contract between the customer, the machine that acts, the system that measures, and the rail that settles.

EcoSynQ is the premium assured customer and implementation. Every other provider can join without surrendering technological sovereignty. crwdUnit standardizes attribution, not the provider’s hardware.